NCAAB

Georgetown vs Marquette

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 7:00 PM ET • 6:00 PM CT • 5:00 PM MT • 4:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-24 07:49 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Georgetown Hoyas / Spread / -3.5 at -110 / 56%
Public and money aligned on home side with stable line; home-court edge and implied model convergence supports cover.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 150.5 at -110 / 55%
Money skewed to under (58%) with public close; defensive metrics and recent neutral trends project low-scoring affair below line.

💰 Best Bet #3 Georgetown Hoyas / Moneyline / -175 / 60%
Consensus favoritism backed by 65% public bets and 70% money; positive EV at current pricing.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Georgetown Hoyas | 59% |
| Win % for Marquette Golden Eagles | 41% |
| Spread Cover % for Georgetown Hoyas -3.5 | 53% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 47% / Under: 53% |
| Average Total Points | 148.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-14, 10] |

🏀 Matchup: Georgetown Hoyas vs Marquette Golden Eagles on 2026-02-25

💸 Public Bets
Georgetown 52% / Marquette 48% (spread); 65% / 35% (moneyline)

💰 Money Distribution
Georgetown 57% / Marquette 43% (spread); 70% / 30% (moneyline)

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable – Spread locked at -3.5 across major books (DraftKings -108/-112, Fanatics/BetOnline -110); total steady near 150.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.1% on Georgetown -3.5 – Implied prob from odds (52.4%) undervalues model’s 56% cover rate based on home efficiency splits and public/sharp consensus.

Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: Amari Kelly (Georgetown) / Over Points / 16.5 at -110 / 68% – High-usage forward averages 17+ PPG at home; Marquette weak on defensive rebounding allows easy second-chance points.
Player Prop #2: Kam Jones (Marquette) / Under Points / 17.5 at -112 / 62% – Georgetown perimeter D limits guards to sub-16 PPG recently; road splits drop output vs top-100 defenses.
Player Prop #3: Rowan Brumbaugh (Georgetown) / Over Assists / 4.5 at -108 / 65% – Primary ball-handler with 5.2 APG home; Marquette press vulnerable, inflating assist opportunities.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on Georgetown spread and moneyline, creating no fade opportunity—follow the home side for optimal EV. Totals lean under due to money disparity and projected pace below average. Overall game outlook favors moderate scoring with strong home defense capping Marquette output.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Georgetown Hoyas — Highest probability edge on spread and ML per simulation and market data.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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