Georgia State vs James Madison

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 3:30 PM ET • 2:30 PM CT • 1:30 PM MT • 12:30 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 09:27 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 James Madison Dukes / -2 / -110 / 55% / Public (56%) and money (61%) aligned on JMU with stable line; model edge from implied probs and home/away splits.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 143 at -110 / 54% / Public leans under (56% bets, 60% money); defensive metrics and recent low-scoring trends favor below line.

💰 Best Bet #3 James Madison Dukes / Moneyline / -130 / 57% / Consensus sharp/public action and positive EV vs vig-adjusted implied probability.

Simulation Results (10,000 Monte Carlo Runs)
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Georgia St Panthers | 44% |
| Win % for James Madison Dukes | 56% |
| Spread Cover % for Georgia St Panthers (+2) | 50% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49% / Under: 51% |
| Average Total Points | 143 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-29, 33] |

🏈 Matchup: Georgia St Panthers vs James Madison Dukes

💸 Public Bets
44% / 56%

💰 Money Distribution
39% / 61%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable (+1.5 to +2 across books, no significant shift despite public action)

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2.5% on JMU spread / ML (model probs exceed implied by 3-4%; RLM neutral, contextual home adv offset by JMU form)

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment (56% bets) aligns with sharp money (61%) heavily on James Madison, supporting a follow strategy with mathematical EV confirmation from simulation convergence. No major injuries reported; low public disparity (

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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