Georgia Tech vs Marist

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-16 07:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-16 11:04 AM EST

Georgia Tech vs Marist on 2025-12-16

💰 Best Bet #1 [Georgia Tech / Spread / -5.5 at -110 / 55% / Georgia Tech’s home advantage and stronger defensive efficiency give them the edge to cover, supported by KenPom projections and simulation outcomes favoring a 4-6 point win.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 139.5 at -115 / 52% / Both teams feature top-60 defenses on KenPom with limited offensive outputs, recent trends showing unders in similar matchups, and simulation indicating a low-scoring affair around 140 points.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Georgia Tech / Moneyline / -250 / 68% / As the home favorite, Georgia Tech’s superior overall ratings and rest advantage make them the clear choice against an underdog Marist squad.]

Game Times
ET: 7:30 PM
CT: 6:30 PM
MT: 5:30 PM
PT: 4:30 PM
AKT: 3:30 PM
HST: 1:30 PM

💸 Public Bets
[70% / 30%]

💰 Money Distribution
[65% / 35%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -6 and has held steady at -5.5 with balanced action, no significant RLM observed.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Georgia Tech spread; simulation win probability exceeds implied odds, bolstered by home-field metrics and defensive matchups without major injury disruptions.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Georgia Tech | 68% |
| Win % for Marist | 32% |
| Spread Cover % for Georgia Tech | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 140 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-2, 12] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Georgia Tech as the home favorite, aligning with sharp money indicators and no reverse line movement, making a follow strategy optimal based on converging metrics. Both defenses rank highly in efficiency, pointing to a controlled, lower-scoring game under the total. No major injuries reported, preserving the simulation’s projected edge for the Yellow Jackets.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Georgia Tech] — simulation and market data confirm the highest probability on the home side.

Highlights unavailable.