Georgia vs Tennessee Tech

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-29 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-29 10:22 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Georgia / Spread / -22.5 at -110 / 68% / Georgia’s superior adjusted efficiency (115 Off/95 Def) dominates TT’s weak defense, home court adds edge amid line firming to favorite.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 148.5 at -110 / 58% / Both teams low-tempo styles (GA 72, TT 68 poss/gm), Georgia clamps scoring (allows 65 ppg), recent unders hit 70% for host.

💰 Best Bet #3 Georgia / Moneyline / -2500 / 92% / Overwhelming win probability from sims, mismatch in ratings (KenPom GA top-50, TT bottom quartile).

Georgia vs Tennessee Tech on 2025-11-29

Game Times
ET: 2:00 PM
CT: 1:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
Georgia 88% / Tennessee Tech 12%

💰 Money Distribution
Georgia 75% / Tennessee Tech 25%

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Opened Georgia -20, moved to -22.5 despite heavy public action, signaling sharp buy on favorite (per Action Network trends).

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.8% on Georgia spread – RLM supports, EV from sim cover rate exceeding implied 52.4% odds prob.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Georgia | 92.1% |
| Win % for Tennessee Tech | 7.9% |
| Spread Cover % for Georgia | 67.4% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 42.3% / Under: 57.7% |
| Average Total Points | 150.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [12.4, 38.7] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: De’Shayne Montgomery / Over 18.5 Points / -115 / 72% / UGA guard averages 20.2 ppg (55% FG), TT allows 28 pts/gm to PGs, usage 32% up vs weak OVC D.
Player Prop #2: Asa Newell / Over 8.5 Rebounds / -120 / 69% / Freshman PF 9.8 rpg, 35% ORB%, TT yields 12 rpg to forwards (bottom-200 def reb%).
Player Prop #3: Tennessee Tech’s Jalen Durisseau / Under 12.5 Points / -110 / 71% / TT guard 10.4 ppg, GA No. 15 def eff holds guards to 9.2 ppg, low-volume shooter (18% 3PT).

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public heavily on Georgia but money split shows sharp resistance to lay heavy chalk; however, RLM and sims confirm value following favorite with strong home metrics. Low-scoring outlook as Georgia defense excels vs mid-majors (held last 3 foes

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