Gonzaga vs Pacific

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 9:00 PM ET • 8:00 PM CT • 7:00 PM MT • 6:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 11:45 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Gonzaga / -21.5 at -114 / 65% / Gonzaga’s elite adjusted efficiency overwhelms Pacific’s poor defense, simulation shows strong cover rate despite slight money on dog.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 144.5 at -110 / 55% / Combined pace and defensive metrics favor low total, public/money lean under aligns with recent trends.

💰 Best Bet #3 Gonzaga / Moneyline at -7000 / 93% / Overwhelming home dominance, 93% win probability crushes implied line.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Gonzaga | 93.2% |
| Win % for Pacific | 6.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Gonzaga | 64.5% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51% / Under: 49% |
| Average Total Points | 145 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-6, 51] |

🏀 Gonzaga vs Pacific

💸 Public Bets
49% / 51%

💰 Money Distribution
44% / 56%

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Stable at -21.5 across books

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4.5% on Gonzaga -21.5 (model cover exceeds implied prob amid money split)

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public nearly split on spread but money favors Pacific +21.5 (56%), signaling potential sharp resistance to heavy favorite; however, Gonzaga’s superior efficiency ratings and home splits justify following model over public fade. Overall game projects moderate scoring under total given defensive rebounding edges and tempo mismatch. Fade public lean on dog spread optimal.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Pacific +21.5 — Gonzaga covers with superior metrics.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

Highlights unavailable.