Gonzaga vs Pepperdine

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-21 09:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-21 11:38 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Gonzaga / Spread / -18.5 at -110 / 65% / Gonzaga’s dominant home form and simulation edge show strong cover probability against a struggling Pepperdine squad.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 152.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams’ recent offensive outputs and pace suggest a slightly elevated scoring game, favoring the over based on efficiency metrics.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Gonzaga / Moneyline / -2500 / 93% / Overwhelming win probability from advanced ratings and head-to-head history in the current season.]

Gonzaga vs Pepperdine on 2026-01-21

Game Times
ET: 9:00 PM
CT: 8:00 PM
MT: 7:00 PM
PT: 6:00 PM
AKT: 5:00 PM
HST: 3:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[Gonzaga 93% / Pepperdine 7%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Gonzaga 97% / Pepperdine 3%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Line opened at -17.5 and moved to -18.5 with heavy action on Gonzaga, indicating sustained sharp support despite public favoritism.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+4% on Gonzaga spread; simulation and consensus metrics confirm value against inflated public percentages, with no reverse movement to fade.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Gonzaga | 93% |
| Win % for Pepperdine | 7% |
| Spread Cover % for Gonzaga | 65% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 55% / Under: 45% |
| Average Total Points | 152 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [10, 40] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Gonzaga, aligning with sharp money and simulation outcomes, making a follow on the favorite optimal rather than a forced fade. Pepperdine’s poor road performance and Gonzaga’s efficient offense point to a comfortable home win. Overall scoring outlook leans moderately high due to Gonzaga’s pace and Pepperdine’s defensive lapses in recent matchups.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Gonzaga] — mathematical probability strongly supports the home favorite in this lopsided contest.

Highlights unavailable.