Harvard vs Holy Cross

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-20 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-20 10:32 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Harvard / Spread / -9.5 at -110 / 58% / Harvard’s superior efficiency ratings and home-court advantage, combined with Holy Cross’s recent defensive struggles, support covering the spread, as line movement shows stability despite public leaning.

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams exhibit moderate tempos and allow high opponent efficiencies in recent outings, with injuries minimally impacting scoring pace, tilting toward a higher total.

💰 Best Bet #3 Harvard / Moneyline / -450 / 75% / Dominant win probability from simulations and historical dominance in similar matchups provide clear value on the favorite.

Harvard vs Holy Cross on 2025-12-20

Game Times
ET: 2:00 PM
CT: 1:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
Harvard 72% / Holy Cross 28%

💰 Money Distribution
Harvard 65% / Holy Cross 35%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -8.5 and moved to -9.5 with balanced action, indicating sharp support for Harvard without major public overreaction.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Harvard spread; simulations and efficiency metrics converge with line stability for positive value, while totals show slight over edge from pace data.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Harvard | 75% |
| Win % for Holy Cross | 25% |
| Spread Cover % for Harvard | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 140 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-5, 24] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on Harvard, supported by their stronger adjusted efficiencies and Holy Cross’s turnover-prone play, making following the favorite optimal without need for a fade. The game outlook leans moderately high-scoring, as both squads rank average in defensive rebounding but show offensive upticks at home. Overall, metrics favor Harvard’s dominance in a controlled, efficient contest.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Harvard — simulations confirm high win probability and cover edge aligned with market consensus.

Highlights unavailable.