Hawaii vs UC Davis

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-04 11:59 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-04 10:44 AM EST

🧠 Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 Hawaii / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 57% / Hawaii’s home advantage at SimpliFi Arena, strong 6-2 record, and superior efficiency metrics support covering against a 5-2 UC Davis on the road.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 143.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams play moderate tempo with defensive rebounding strengths; recent trends and sim avg of 142.8 points favor low-scoring affair.
💰 Best Bet #3 Hawaii / Moneyline / -190 / 62% / Dominant win probability from home form and matchup edges over UC Davis.

🏀 Hawaii vs UC Davis on 2025-12-05

Game Times

ET: TBA (approx. 11:00 PM)
CT: TBA (approx. 10:00 PM)
MT: TBA (approx. 9:00 PM)
PT: TBA (approx. 8:00 PM)
AKT: TBA (approx. 7:00 PM)
HST: TBA (approx. 5:00 PM)

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Hawaii | 61.3% |
| Win % for UC Davis | 38.7% |
| Spread Cover % for Hawaii (-4.5) | 57.2% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49.8% / Under: 50.2% |
| Average Total Points | 142.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-11.2, 9.4] |

💸 Public Bets
Hawaii 68% / UC Davis 32%

💰 Money Distribution
Hawaii 60% / UC Davis 40%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at Hawaii -4.5; minimal shift despite public lean toward home team (per recent X posts and betting sites).

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Hawaii spread; sim cover rate exceeds implied odds probability, supported by home splits and current season form.

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment favors Hawaii aligning with money distribution and line stability, indicating no sharp resistance—follow the home team as math confirms edge. No major injuries reported in latest checks. Game outlook leans under due to balanced efficiencies and moderate pace (Hawaii allows 68 PPG recently, UC Davis 70 PPG).

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Hawaii — highest probability from sim, records (6-2 vs 5-2), and home court.

Highlights unavailable.