NCAAB
Hawaii vs 
UC Santa Barbara
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 10:00 PM ET • 9:00 PM CT • 8:00 PM MT • 7:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 11:59 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors / -4.5 / -108 / 58% confidence
Hawai’i leverages strong home-court advantage at Stan Sheriff Center, with simulation showing 52% cover rate against the spread amid aligned public (51%) and money (56%) action on the favorite.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 146.5 / -110 / 55% confidence
Combined offensive efficiencies and public lean (57% bets, 61% money on under) point to a lower-scoring affair, simulation avg total 145.5 with 52% under probability.
💰 Best Bet #3 Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors / Moneyline / -195 / 62% confidence
Model projects 65% home win probability, supported by sharp money disparity (72% on Hawai’i) and historical home dominance over UCSB travelers.
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors | 65.1% |
| Win % for UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 34.9% |
| Spread Cover % for Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors | 52.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.0% / Under: 52.0% |
| Average Total Points | 145.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-9.8, 19.2] |
🏈 Matchup: Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos on 2026-02-22
💸 Public Bets
Hawai’i 51% / UC Santa Barbara 49%
💰 Money Distribution
Hawai’i 56% / UC Santa Barbara 44%
💹 Market Alignment
Aligned
📉 Line Movement
Stable per latest consensus lines
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2.5% on Hawai’i -4.5; implied prob undervalues home win/cover based on simulation and home splits.
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment and sharp money align on Hawai’i spread and moneyline, with defensive metrics favoring under; follow the public here as EV confirms value without RLM signals. Overall game projects low-scoring with Hawai’i pulling away late via home crowd and travel fatigue on UCSB. No key injuries reported.
🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Hawai’i — highest probability on home spread and ML.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
Highlights unavailable.