Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls

League: NBA | Date: 2025-11-29 07:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-29 06:50 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Chicago Bulls / -3.5 / -110 / 55% / Bulls hold edge in win probability at 57.7% with consistent recent performances against Pacers’ defensive vulnerabilities
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 243.5 / -110 / 53% / Simulation average total of 232.4 points well below line, supported by both teams’ slower pace trends
💰 Best Bet #3 Chicago Bulls / Moneyline / -170 / 58% / Superior 57.7% simulated win rate aligns with road favorite value

🏀 Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls on 2025-11-29

Game Times
ET: 7:30 PM
CT: 6:30 PM
MT: 5:30 PM
PT: 4:30 PM
AKT: 3:30 PM
HST: 1:30 PM

💸 Public Bets
Chicago Bulls 62% / Indiana Pacers 38%

💰 Money Distribution
Chicago Bulls 58% / Indiana Pacers 42%

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Opened Bulls -3, moved to -4 amid sharp action on road favorite despite public lean

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4.2% on Bulls spread; reverse line movement against public supports professional money

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Indiana Pacers | 42.3% |
| Win % for Chicago Bulls | 57.7% |
| Spread Cover % for Indiana Pacers (+4) | 47.1% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.2% / Under: 51.8% |
| Average Total Points | 232.4 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-11.8, 8.2] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public leans Bulls but money distribution shows sharper split toward Chicago, with line movement confirming pro action despite Pacers’ home underdog trends. Fade elements of public overreaction to Pacers’ spot value, but overall math favors Bulls alignment. Game projects low-scoring with combined defensive efficiencies pushing under.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Chicago Bulls — strongest convergence of sim, market, and metrics.

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