Indiana State vs Bradley

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-18 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-18 11:05 AM EST

Indiana State vs Bradley on 2025-12-18

💰 Best Bet #1 [Indiana State / Spread / -5.5 at -110 / 60% / Indiana State holds strong home advantage with superior recent form and defensive efficiency, covering in 58% of simulations against similar opponents.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 147.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams exhibit high-tempo play and average 148 total points in matchups, driven by offensive rebounding and fast breaks, favoring a high-scoring affair.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Indiana State / Moneyline / -250 / 65% / Indiana State’s 62.5% win probability in simulations aligns with their current season dominance and Bradley’s road struggles.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Indiana State | 62.5% |
| Win % for Bradley | 36.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Indiana State | 58.2% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.3% / Under: 47.7% |
| Average Total Points | 148.1 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12.3, 18.7] |

Game Times
ET: 07:00 PM
CT: 06:00 PM
MT: 05:00 PM
PT: 04:00 PM
AKT: 03:00 PM
HST: 01:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[Indiana State 65% / Bradley 35%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Indiana State 60% / Bradley 40%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Line opened at -6 for Indiana State, moved to -5.5 with balanced action, indicating stable consensus on the favorite.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% EV on Indiana State spread, supported by simulation win probability exceeding implied odds and recent form trends in current season.]

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on Indiana State, as both percentages and line stability confirm value in the favorite without significant reverse movement. Following the public is optimal here, given the mathematical edge from simulations and current season metrics. The game outlook points to moderate-high scoring, with both teams’ offensive efficiencies suggesting the total could push over based on pace and rebounding rates.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Indiana State] — the 62.5% simulated win probability provides the strongest edge in this matchup.

Highlights unavailable.