Indiana vs Purdue

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-27 09:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-27 07:45 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Purdue / -8.5 / -110 / 65%
Purdue covers with 61% simulation probability, bolstered by superior adjusted efficiency ratings and home-court dominance in rivalry matchups.

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / 154.5 / -110 / 55%
Average simulated total of 154.5 aligns closely with the line, but offensive tempo and recent scoring trends favor a slight over at 52% probability.

💰 Best Bet #3 Purdue / Moneyline / -350 / 78%
Purdue’s 78% win probability reflects strong defensive rebounding and home advantage against Indiana’s inconsistent road form.

🏀 Indiana vs Purdue

on 2026-01-27

Game Times
ET: 09:00 PM
CT: 08:00 PM
MT: 07:00 PM
PT: 06:00 PM
AKT: 05:00 PM
HST: 03:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
Purdue 72% / Indiana 28%

💰 Money Distribution
Purdue 68% / Indiana 32%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at -8.5 after opening at -8, no significant RLM observed

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4.5% on Purdue spread (61% cover vs. -110 implied 52.4%); positive EV from simulation convergence and home metrics

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Purdue | 78% |
| Win % for Indiana | 22% |
| Spread Cover % for Purdue (-8.5) | 61% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 154.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12.2, 39.1] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Purdue, aligning with money distribution and simulation outcomes, making a follow-public approach optimal rather than a contrarian fade. No reverse line movement or sharp resistance appears, confirming value on the favorite. Game projects as moderately high-scoring with average total near 154.5, driven by Purdue’s efficient offense against Indiana’s vulnerable defense.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Purdue — highest mathematical probability supported by 78% win equity and spread cover edge.

Highlights unavailable.