Indiana vs Siena

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-22 06:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-22 09:20 AM EST

🧠 Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 [Indiana / Spread / -23.5 at -110 / 65% / Indiana’s dominant home form and Siena’s struggles create a strong edge, with simulation covering in 65% of outcomes despite public heavy favoritism]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 150.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams’ recent games show moderate scoring trends, with average total aligning just above the line and offensive efficiencies supporting a slight lean over]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Indiana / Moneyline / -4000 / 92% / Overwhelming win probability from metrics and home advantage makes this a low-risk play, even at short odds]

Indiana vs Siena on 2025-12-22

Game Times

ET: 6:00 PM
CT: 5:00 PM
MT: 4:00 PM
PT: 3:00 PM
AKT: 2:00 PM
HST: 12:00 PM

💸 Public Bets

[80% / 20%]

💰 Money Distribution

[75% / 25%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at -23.5 and held steady, with no significant shifts despite heavy public action on Indiana

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+4% on Indiana spread / Consensus metrics and simulation support value against the line, with no RLM indicating sharp resistance]

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Indiana, aligning with sharp money and mathematical projections, making a follow strategy optimal in this mismatch. Siena’s poor road performance and Indiana’s home dominance reduce upset risk. Overall game scoring outlook points to a moderate total, with Indiana’s efficient offense likely pushing points over the line against Siena’s weak defense.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Indiana / Highest probability side backed by simulation and market consensus]

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|———————————|—————|
| Win % for Indiana | 92% |
| Win % for Siena | 8% |
| Spread Cover % for Indiana | 65% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 55% / Under: 45% |
| Average Total Points | 150 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [15, 45] |

Highlights unavailable.