Indiana vs Washington

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-04 08:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-04 11:15 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Indiana / Spread / -7.5 at -110 / 60% / Indiana’s superior adjusted efficiency and home advantage against Washington’s weaker road defense provide a strong edge for covering the spread.
💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 151.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams exhibit high-tempo play with recent games trending above the line, supported by offensive rebounding rates and pace metrics.
💰 Best Bet #3 Indiana / Moneyline / -320 / 75% / Dominant win probability driven by form, ratings, and matchup dynamics favors the Hoosiers outright.

Indiana vs Washington on 2026-01-04

Game Times
ET: 08:00 PM
CT: 07:00 PM
MT: 06:00 PM
PT: 05:00 PM
AKT: 04:00 PM
HST: 02:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
Indiana 68% / Washington 32%

💰 Money Distribution
Indiana 62% / Washington 38%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Opened at -6.5, moved to -7.5 despite heavy public action on Indiana, indicating sharp support for the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% EV on Indiana spread; convergence of metrics and reverse line movement against public percentage creates value.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Indiana | 72.5% |
| Win % for Washington | 24.3% |
| Spread Cover % for Indiana | 58.2% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.1% / Under: 47.9% |
| Average Total Points | 152.3 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-5.2, 25.1] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Indiana, aligning with sharp money and mathematical projections from efficiency ratings and recent form. Following the favorite is optimal here, as no contrarian signals outweigh the data. The game projects as moderately high-scoring, with both offenses capable of exploiting defensive weaknesses in transition.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Indiana — strongest probability supported by aligned indicators and simulation outcomes.

Highlights unavailable.