Iowa vs Maryland

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-06 04:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-06 10:55 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Iowa / Spread / -9.5 at -110 / 60% / Iowa leverages home-court edge at Carver-Hawkeye Arena with superior efficiency ratings and recent form outpacing Maryland’s road struggles]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 135.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams exhibit high-tempo offenses averaging over 70 points recently, with defensive vulnerabilities suggesting a combined total exceeding the line]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Iowa / Moneyline / -420 / 75% / Simulation heavily favors Iowa’s win probability due to matchup advantages in rebounding and turnover creation]

🏀 Matchup: Iowa vs Maryland on 2025-12-06

Game Times

ET: 4:00 PM
CT: 3:00 PM
MT: 2:00 PM
PT: 1:00 PM
AKT: 12:00 PM
HST: 10:00 AM

💸 Public Bets

[Iowa 72% / Maryland 28%]

💰 Money Distribution

[Iowa 78% / Maryland 22%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at Iowa -8.5 and moved to -9.5 amid heavy public action on the favorite, with no significant reverse movement indicating sharp consensus on Iowa.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3.2% on Iowa spread / Implied probability from odds undervalues Iowa’s 55% cover rate per simulation, supported by home efficiency and Maryland’s poor away ATS record this season]

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Iowa | 75% |
| Win % for Maryland | 25% |
| Spread Cover % for Iowa | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 138 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-5, 25] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Iowa, aligning with sharp money and line movement toward the favorite, making a follow strategy optimal rather than fading. Iowa’s offensive efficiency and home dominance outweigh Maryland’s inconsistencies, while both teams’ defensive metrics point to a moderately high-scoring affair around 138 total points. No contrarian edge emerges, as metrics confirm the market’s direction.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Iowa / Strong alignment across public action, money flow, and simulation outcomes supports betting Iowa’s side for positive EV]

Highlights unavailable.