Kansas vs Houston

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 9:00 PM ET • 8:00 PM CT • 7:00 PM MT • 6:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 07:51 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Kansas Jayhawks / +2.5 / -115 / 55% / Sharp money (58%) outweighs public bets (53%) on home underdog amid aligned market signals.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 136.5 at -110 / 54% / Public (54%) and money (58%) favor under with both teams showing defensive tendencies in recent trends.

💰 Best Bet #3 Houston Cougars / Moneyline / -141 / 53% / Road favorite backed by 59% public bets and 64% money on ML despite low volume.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Kansas Jayhawks | 47.2% |
| Win % for Houston Cougars | 52.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Kansas Jayhawks | 53.1% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49.2% / Under: 50.8% |
| Average Total Points | 136.4 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-25.2, 23.4] |

🏀 Kansas Jayhawks vs Houston Cougars

💸 Public Bets
[Kansas 53% / Houston 47%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Kansas 58% / Houston 42%]

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Stable at Houston -2.5; no significant shifts despite early low-volume action.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2.5% on Kansas +2.5 (model prob 53.1% vs implied ~52.4%); supported by money disparity.

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public bets slightly favor Kansas on the spread while leaning Houston on moneyline, but sharp money tilts heavier to the home underdog (58% vs 53% bets), creating value divergence. Defensive metrics and public/money under lean suggest a lower-scoring affair below 136.5. Overall, contrarian play on Kansas spread aligns with RLM absence and home-field factors.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Houston ML / Follow the sharp on Kansas +2.5 — mathematical edge favors home cover.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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