Kansas vs UConn

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-02 09:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-02 11:00 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Kansas / Spread / +1.5 at -110 / 55% / Home underdogs showing value per sim cover rate and line holding steady despite public lean to UConn
💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 152.5 at -110 / 56% / Both teams high-efficiency offenses with fast tempo in early 2025 season, avg total exceeds line
💰 Best Bet #3 UConn / Moneyline / -125 / 54% / Slight edge as road favorite backed by recent form and sim win probability

🏀 Kansas vs UConn on 2025-12-02

Game Times
ET: 9:00 PM
CT: 8:00 PM
MT: 7:00 PM
PT: 6:00 PM
AKT: 5:00 PM
HST: 3:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
Kansas 32% / UConn 68%

💰 Money Distribution
Kansas 48% / UConn 52%

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Opened UConn -2.5, moved to -1.5 amid sharp action on Kansas home dog per recent reports

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.1% on Kansas spread — sim cover 54%, RLM supports dog vs public-heavy favorite

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Kansas | 46% |
| Win % for UConn | 54% |
| Spread Cover % for Kansas (+2.5) | 54% |
| Spread Cover % for UConn (-2.5) | 46% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 56% / Under: 44% |
| Average Total Points | 152.3 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-8.2, +6.1] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public heavily favors UConn at 68% bets but money slightly split with edge to Kansas, signaling sharp divergence; RLM from -2.5 to -1.5 confirms value fading public. Both squads boast top-25 efficiencies early 2025 season, projecting moderate-high scoring above line. Optimal to fade public on home dog.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Kansas — sim and market math favor cover despite UConn hype as #5 vs #21.

Highlights unavailable.