NCAAB
Kennesaw State vs 
Liberty
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 7:00 PM ET • 6:00 PM CT • 5:00 PM MT • 4:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-26 07:53 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 Liberty Flames / -1.5 / -110 / 57% / Public 55% bets/60% money on Flames with line steady, Liberty’s strong recent defensive form (62.3 PPG allowed away) vs Kennesaw’s inconsistent home defense aligns for cover
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 153.5 at -110 / 54% / Recent Liberty away totals avg 150, Kennesaw home allowed high but Flames suppress scoring, public/money slight under lean (52%/56%)
💰 Best Bet #3 Liberty Flames / Moneyline / -125 / 59% / Superior recent wins (3 straight covering), adjusted efficiency favors Flames road edge over Kennesaw mixed results
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Kennesaw St Owls | 42% |
| Win % for Liberty Flames | 58% |
| Spread Cover % for Liberty Flames (-1.5) | 57% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49% / Under: 51% |
| Average Total Points | 165.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-11, 25] |
🏀 Matchup: Kennesaw St Owls vs Liberty Flames
💸 Public Bets
[Kennesaw 45% / Liberty 55%]
💰 Money Distribution
[Kennesaw 40% / Liberty 60%]
💹 Market Alignment
Aligned
📉 Line Movement
Line moved from Liberty -1.5 to -2.5 amid public action on Flames, supporting sharp consensus
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Liberty spread — Model prob 57% vs implied 52.4%, backed by Liberty’s defensive suppression (62 PPG allowed recent away) and RLM confirmation
Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: Shiloh Robinson (Liberty) / Over 16.5 Points / -110 / 72% / Liberty’s leading scorer avg 18+ recent, Kennesaw home def allows 84 PPG, high usage in road wins
Player Prop #2: Kobe Sanders (Kennesaw) / Under 20.5 Points / -112 / 68% / Inconsistent home scoring (avg 22 but vs weak, Liberty allows 62 road), defensive matchup limits
Player Prop #3: Zach Cleveland (Liberty) / Over 7.5 Rebounds / -108 / 70% / Dominant boarder recent away (9+ avg), Kennesaw rebounding weak in losses
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment and sharp money align heavily on Liberty Flames, with 55% bets and 60% handle creating no fade opportunity—follow optimal as recent form (Liberty 3-0 away strong D) and sim confirm edge. Game projects moderate scoring with Liberty defense capping Kennesaw offense, favoring under despite Kennesaw home pace. No major injuries reported, home advantage minimal in sim.
🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Liberty Flames — Highest EV at +3.2% on spread/cover.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
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