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Kent State LogoKent State vs Ohio LogoOhio

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-27 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-27 07:25 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Kent State / Spread / -3.5 at -110 / 56% / Kent State shows edge in simulation cover rate and recent form with wins over strong opponents like Stanford, supported by home advantage in MAC play.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 58% / Recent Kent State games average under 140 points, with defensive showings like holding St. Bonaventure to 56, aligning with sim’s 55% Under probability and average total of 140.

💰 Best Bet #3 Kent State / Moneyline / -170 / 60% / Simulation projects 57% win probability for Kent State at home, where recent performances indicate superior efficiency against conference-level competition.

🏀 Kent State vs Ohio on 2026-01-27

Game Times
ET: 07:00 PM
CT: 06:00 PM
MT: 05:00 PM
PT: 04:00 PM
AKT: 03:00 PM
HST: 01:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
Kent State 65% / Ohio 35%

💰 Money Distribution
Kent State 58% / Ohio 42%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at -3.5; no significant shifts despite moderate public action on favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Kent State spread; simulation cover exceeds implied probability, bolstered by Kent State’s recent defensive metrics and home splits.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Kent State | 57% |
| Win % for Ohio | 41% |
| Spread Cover % for Kent State -3.5 | 54% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 45% / Under: 55% |
| Average Total Points | 140 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-9, 17] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Kent State with aligned money distribution, supporting a follow strategy as metrics confirm the favorite’s edge without contrarian signals like RLM. Kent State’s recent games highlight strong adjusted defensive efficiency, holding opponents under 70 points twice. Overall scoring outlook points low, with both teams’ trends favoring Under based on pace and rebounding rates.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Kent State — simulation and form provide the best mathematical probability of winning.

Highlights unavailable.

Post ID: 34941