Kentucky vs Indiana

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-13 07:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-13 11:29 AM EST

Kentucky vs Indiana on 2025-12-13

💰 Best Bet #1 [Indiana / Spread / +4.5 at -110 / 58% / Simulation indicates Kentucky wins by an average margin within the spread, supported by recent form and home advantage not fully offsetting Indiana’s defensive efficiency.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 159.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams show below-average scoring in recent matchups, with Kentucky’s pace slowing against Big Ten defenses and injuries impacting Indiana’s offense.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Kentucky / Moneyline / -190 / 65% / Strong home record and superior adjusted efficiency ratings give Kentucky the edge in win probability.]

Game Times
ET: 07:30 PM
CT: 06:30 PM
MT: 05:30 PM
PT: 04:30 PM
AKT: 03:30 PM
HST: 01:30 PM

💸 Public Bets
[Kentucky 70% / Indiana 30%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Kentucky 60% / Indiana 40%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Opened at Kentucky -3, moved to -4.5 amid balanced action, indicating steady support for the favorite.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+2.5% on Under, driven by defensive metrics and simulation projecting totals below the line.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Kentucky | 65.0% |
| Win % for Indiana | 35.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Kentucky | 42.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 46.0% / Under: 54.0% |
| Average Total Points | 158.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-8.5, 14.2] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Kentucky, aligning with sharp money indicators and line movement, making a follow strategy optimal for the moneyline. The game projects as moderately low-scoring, with both offenses facing stout defenses and potential fatigue factors. Overall, value lies in the under and spread underdog.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Kentucky] — mathematical probability favors the home team in a controlled win.

Highlights unavailable.