Kentucky vs Missouri

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-07 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-07 11:39 AM EST

Kentucky vs Missouri on 2026-01-07

💰 Best Bet #1 [Kentucky / Spread / -13.5 at -110 / 58% / Kentucky’s strong home efficiency and Missouri’s road struggles create a clear edge, supported by recent form and simulation cover rate.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 150.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams show defensive rebounding strengths and lower tempo matchups, aligning with under probability from pace and efficiency metrics.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Kentucky / Moneyline / -850 / 82% / Dominant win projection from adjusted efficiency ratings and home advantage outweighs Missouri’s underdog status.]

Game Times
ET: 07:00 PM
CT: 06:00 PM
MT: 05:00 PM
PT: 04:00 PM
AKT: 03:00 PM
HST: 01:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[Kentucky 75% / Missouri 25%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Kentucky 65% / Missouri 35%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -12.5 and moved to -13.5 with balanced action, indicating stability despite public lean on Kentucky.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Kentucky spread / Simulation and efficiency metrics show value against implied odds, with no major injury disruptions.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Kentucky | 82.3% |
| Win % for Missouri | 17.7% |
| Spread Cover % for Kentucky | 58.2% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 45.1% / Under: 54.9% |
| Average Total Points | 150.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-15.2, 35.4] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Kentucky, aligning with sharp money and mathematical projections from efficiency ratings, making a follow strategy optimal rather than fading. Missouri’s recent win provides minimal upset value given Kentucky’s home dominance. Overall game scoring outlook leans under due to solid defensive rebounding and moderate tempos from both sides.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Kentucky] — Highest probability from win simulation and market consensus.

Highlights unavailable.