NCAAB

Lamar vs New Orleans

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 7:00 PM ET • 6:00 PM CT • 5:00 PM MT • 4:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 11:28 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Lamar Cardinals / Spread / -3 at -110 / 58% / Home favorite with public (54%) and money (59%) alignment, strong home-court edge in simulations covering 55% of runs

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 146 at -110 / 55% / Money leans under (55%), recent low-volume trends and defensive matchups project avg total 145.8 below line

💰 Best Bet #3 Lamar Cardinals / Moneyline / -160 / 62% / Model win prob 62% exceeds implied 61.5%, backed by form and splits convergence

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Lamar Cardinals | 62.0% |
| Win % for New Orleans Privateers | 38.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Lamar Cardinals | 55.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51% / Under: 49% |
| Average Total Points | 145.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12.2, 20.1] |

🏈 Matchup: Lamar Cardinals vs New Orleans Privateers on February 19, 2026

💸 Public Bets
54% / 46%

💰 Money Distribution
59% / 41%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable across sources—no significant shifts noted

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Lamar -3 (model cover 55% vs implied ~52%, public/sharp consensus without RLM)

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public bets (54%) and money (59%) both favor Lamar on spread, indicating market alignment without sharp resistance or RLM; follow optimal here. No key injuries reported, minimal travel fatigue. Game projects moderate scoring (avg 145.8) favoring under amid defensive efficiencies and total money lean.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Lamar — model and indicators converge on home edge.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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