Liberty vs Coppin State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-06 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-06 10:34 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Liberty / Spread / -27 at -110 / 55% / Liberty’s dominant simulation win probability and historical edge against weaker opponents like Coppin State support covering the large spread, bolstered by home-court advantage.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams’ defensive metrics and recent low-scoring trends in non-conference play indicate a controlled pace, favoring the under despite Liberty’s offensive potential.

💰 Best Bet #3 Liberty / Moneyline / -5000 / 98% / Overwhelming simulation favoritism and current season form make Liberty a near-lock to win outright against an outmatched Coppin State.

Liberty vs Coppin State on 2025-12-06

Game Times
ET: 2:00 PM
CT: 1:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
Liberty 85% / Coppin State 15%

💰 Money Distribution
Liberty 70% / Coppin State 30%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -25.5 and moved to -27 with heavy public action on Liberty, indicating sustained favoritism without sharp resistance.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Liberty spread due to simulation cover rate exceeding implied probability; slight +1.1% EV on under from defensive efficiencies.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|———————————|——————————–|
| Win % for Liberty | 98.0% |
| Win % for Coppin State | 2.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Liberty | 55.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.0% / Under: 52.0% |
| Average Total Points | 140.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [25.0, 65.0] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Liberty, aligning with sharp money indicators and simulation outcomes, making a follow on the favorite optimal rather than fading. Coppin State’s poor current season form against stronger teams reinforces this consensus. The game projects as low-scoring overall, with Liberty’s defense limiting Coppin State’s offense while controlling tempo.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Liberty — simulation and market data confirm the highest probability of success on the favorite.

Highlights unavailable.