NCAAB
LIU Sharks vs 
Chicago State
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 7:00 PM ET • 6:00 PM CT • 5:00 PM MT • 4:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-26 08:19 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 LIU Sharks / -12.5 at -110 / 64% / Superior recent scoring (79.3 PPG), home wins vs JMU (88-79), CSU dismal form (avg 61 PPG scored in losses).
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 139.5 at -110 / 66% / CSU offensive struggles (54-66-63 recent), public/money 56%/60% on under, recent LIU games avg 158 total but matchup suppresses.
💰 Best Bet #3 LIU Sharks / Moneyline at -900 / 70% / 89% public/94% money alignment on heavy fave, sim convergence >90% win prob despite juice.
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for LIU Sharks | 90% |
| Win % for Chicago St Cougars | 10% |
| Spread Cover % for LIU Sharks | 60% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 54% / Under: 46% |
| Average Total Points | 143 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [8, 28] |
🏈 Matchup: LIU Sharks vs Chicago St Cougars
💸 Public Bets
[49% / 51%]
💰 Money Distribution
[44% / 56%]
💹 Market Alignment
Divergent
📉 Line Movement
Stable at -12.5 across books (BetOnline/LowVig/BetRivers consensus)
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4% on LIU -12.5 (model prob 64% vs implied 52%), recent form/CSU woes outweigh slight money on dog
Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: T Jackson (LIU Sharks) / Over 17.5 Points / -110 / 72% / LIU primary scorer in 79.3 PPG avg, recent 20+ in wins vs weak CSU D allowing 77+
Player Prop #2: J Corbett (Chicago St Cougars) / Under 12.5 Points / -110 / 68% / CSU leading usage but 10.3 PPG recent losses, LIU D holds foes to sub-80
**Player Prop #3: M Twyman (LIU Sharks) / Over 6.5 Rebounds / -110 / 70% / High rebound rate in home games (JMU matchup 10+), CSU poor def reb %
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public bets near even on spread but heavily skewed to LIU ML (89%), with money following on ML but favoring CSU spread—mild divergence signals no strong RLM, aligning with metrics favoring home dominance. Follow public on LIU sides as EV positive despite heavy fave juice; fade dog spread value absent. Game projects moderate scoring (143 avg), under edge from CSU offense/defensive data.
🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with LIU Sharks — model/ market consensus confirms high win/cover prob.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
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