Longwood vs Delaware State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-13 03:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-13 11:09 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Longwood / Spread / -6.5 at -110 / 62% / Longwood’s superior adjusted efficiency ratings and home-court dominance in the current season give them a clear edge, with simulation covering 60% of scenarios against a struggling Delaware State defense.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 148.5 at -110 / 57% / Both teams show moderate offensive paces and defensive vulnerabilities in recent outings, pushing the projected total above the line in 55% of simulations based on efficiency metrics.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Longwood / Moneyline / -300 / 75% / Longwood’s strong win probability from form and matchup advantages outweighs the juice, aligning with 75% simulation success.]

🏀 Matchup: Longwood vs Delaware State on 2025-12-13

Game Times

ET: 3:00 PM
CT: 2:00 PM
MT: 1:00 PM
PT: 12:00 PM
AKT: 11:00 AM
HST: 9:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
[72% / 28%]

💰 Money Distribution
[65% / 35%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Line opened at -7 and moved to -6.5 with balanced action, no significant RLM observed]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Longwood | 75.0% |
| Win % for Delaware State | 25.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Longwood | 60.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 55.0% / Under: 45.0% |
| Average Total Points | 148.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-5.0, 25.0] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Longwood, aligning with money distribution and lacking reverse line movement, indicating no sharp resistance to the favorite. Following the public is optimal here, as mathematical edges confirm value on the spread without contrarian signals. The game outlook points to a moderate-scoring affair, with offensive efficiencies suggesting a slight lean over but defenses capable of keeping it competitive.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Longwood / No clear edge] — Longwood holds the best mathematical probability of winning based on simulation and market consensus.

Highlights unavailable.