NCAAB

Louisville vs Georgia Tech

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 2:15 PM ET • 1:15 PM CT • 12:15 PM MT • 11:15 AM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 08:46 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Louisville Cardinals / Spread / -22.5 at -110 / 58% / Simulation shows 58.5% cover rate exceeding implied probability; public split (45/55) and money (40/60) leaning Georgia Tech provides contrarian value despite heavy favoritism.

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 164.5 at -110 / 52% / Projected average total of 165 with 51% over probability aligns with high line and offensive metrics in current season context.

💰 Best Bet #3 Louisville Cardinals / Moneyline / -8000 / 98% / Dominant 98% win probability from 10k simulations confirms overwhelming edge aligned with public betting (90/10).

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Louisville Cardinals | 98.0% |
| Win % for Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 2.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Louisville Cardinals | 58.5% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51.0% / Under: 48.9% |
| Average Total Points | 165 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [1.5, 48.5] |

🏈 Matchup: Louisville Cardinals vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets on 2026-02-21

💸 Public Bets
[45% / 55%]

💰 Money Distribution
[40% / 60%]

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
No significant movement observed

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+4% on Louisville -22.5; simulation cover exceeds implied by 6%, supported by public/money disparity on underdog despite limited recent form data.]

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public bets (55%) and money (60%) favor Georgia Tech +22.5, creating divergence from heavy Louisville favoritism, mathematically justifying a fade on the public with the favorite spread given simulation alignment. Sharp resistance implied by money split supports contrarian play without RLM confirmation. Game outlook projects moderately high scoring around 165 total based on line and sim, favoring slight over amid offensive efficiencies.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Georgia Tech +22.5 — simulation and EV confirm Louisville cover probability.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

Highlights unavailable.