Loyola Chicago vs Central Michigan

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-02 08:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-02 10:38 AM EST

Loyola Chicago vs Central Michigan on 2025-12-02

💰 Best Bet #1 Loyola Chicago -5.5 at -110 / 58% / Home advantage and superior adjusted efficiency give edge despite recent struggles; sim cover probability supports value.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under 143 143 at -115 / 62% / Both teams low-tempo, poor offenses (Loyola ~72 PPG scored recently, CMU mid-major averages); defensive metrics favor low total.

💰 Best Bet #3 Loyola Chicago ML -240 / 65% / Strong home win probability from sim, backed by efficiency mismatch.

Game Times
ET: 08:00 PM
CT: 07:00 PM
MT: 06:00 PM
PT: 05:00 PM
AKT: 04:00 PM
HST: 02:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
Loyola Chicago 68% / Central Michigan 32%

💰 Money Distribution
Loyola Chicago 62% / Central Michigan 38%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Spread opened -6, moved to -5.5 on sharp home money; total steady at 143 despite low public under action.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Under (public heavy on favorite/spread, money split signals total value); +1.8% on home spread cover.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Loyola Chicago | 62% |
| Win % for Central Michigan | 38% |
| Spread Cover % for Loyola Chicago | 57% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 42% / Under: 58% |
| Average Total Points | 137 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12, 22] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public leans Loyola Chicago but money slightly softer, with alignment suggesting no strong fade; sim and efficiency metrics confirm home edge despite Loyola’s recent losses as favorites (e.g., vs. Northern Illinois). Game projects low-scoring based on Loyola’s defensive rebounding strength and CMU’s low offensive efficiency vs. similar foes. Under holds strongest EV from tempo and recent totals trends.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Loyola Chicago — sim win/cover probabilities and home metrics outweigh public fade signals.

Highlights unavailable.