Loyola Chicago vs George Mason

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-13 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-13 11:06 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [George Mason / Spread / -8.5 at -110 / 55% / George Mason’s superior efficiency ratings and Loyola Chicago’s defensive struggles create a clear edge, supported by recent form and simulation outcomes.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 142.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams exhibit moderate tempos with Loyola’s poor offense limiting scoring potential, aligning with historical unders in similar matchups.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [George Mason / Moneyline / -350 / 75% / Strong win probability driven by balanced attack against a weaker opponent, with minimal injury concerns boosting confidence.]

Loyola Chicago vs George Mason on 2026-01-13

Game Times

ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets

[30% Loyola Chicago / 70% George Mason]

💰 Money Distribution

[45% Loyola Chicago / 55% George Mason]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at -8 and has held steady at -8.5 despite moderate public action on the favorite, indicating sharp stability.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3.5% on George Mason spread / Reasoning: Implied probability from odds (52.4%) undervalues the 55% cover rate from simulations, combined with efficiency disparities yielding positive EV.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Loyola Chicago | 25% |
| Win % for George Mason | 75% |
| Spread Cover % for George Mason (-8.5) | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 142 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-20, 15] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors George Mason, aligning with sharp money indicators and simulation probabilities, making a follow strategy optimal rather than fading. Contextual factors like Loyola Chicago’s inefficient offense and George Mason’s defensive solidity support this without contrarian edges. Overall game scoring outlook points to a controlled pace, favoring the under based on rebounding and turnover trends from both sides.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with George Mason] — mathematical probability favors the favorite across multiple metrics.

Highlights unavailable.