Loyola Marymount Lions vs Eastern Washington Eagles

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-05 10:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-05 05:30 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Loyola Marymount Lions / Spread / -8.5 at -110 / 62% / Loyola Marymount’s strong home efficiency and Eastern Washington’s recent road loss to UCLA support covering the spread, with simulation showing a 62% cover rate amid favorable pace matchup.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 154.5 at -105 / 58% / Both teams exhibit high-tempo offenses in early season play, with Loyola Marymount’s blowout win pushing 137 points and Eastern Washington’s competitive loss totaling 154, aligning with 58% over probability.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Loyola Marymount Lions / Moneyline / -400 / 78% / Dominant home advantage and superior adjusted efficiency ratings give Loyola Marymount an 78% win probability against a rebuilding Eastern Washington squad.]

Loyola Marymount Lions vs Eastern Washington Eagles on 2025-11-05

Game Times
ET: 10:30 PM
CT: 9:30 PM
MT: 8:30 PM
PT: 7:30 PM
AKT: 6:30 PM
HST: 4:30 PM

💸 Public Bets
[Loyola Marymount 72% / Eastern Washington 28%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Loyola Marymount 68% / Eastern Washington 32%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
The spread opened at -7.5 and moved to -8.5 across major books like DraftKings and FanDuel, reflecting steady sharp action on the favorite despite public support.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% EV on Loyola Marymount spread; implied probability of 52.4% from odds undervalues the 62% simulation cover rate, boosted by home efficiency and opponent fatigue from recent travel.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Loyola Marymount Lions | 78.0% |
| Win % for Eastern Washington Eagles | 22.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Loyola Marymount Lions | 62.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 58.0% / Under: 42.0% |
| Average Total Points/Runs/Goals | 158.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-4.8, 26.1] |

Player props unavailable due to roster verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Loyola Marymount, aligning with money distribution and line movement toward the favorite, indicating no strong contrarian edge—following the public here matches sharp action and metrics. Eastern Washington’s defensive rebounding weaknesses against Loyola Marymount’s efficient offense suggest a high-scoring affair, with totals leaning over based on early-season paces exceeding 70 possessions per game. No major injuries reported, preserving full lineups for both sides.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Loyola Marymount] — simulation and market consensus point to a clear home win probability exceeding 75%.

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