Loyola Marymount vs Florida Atlantic

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-24 08:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-24 08:26 PM EST

Loyola Marymount vs Florida Atlantic on 2025-11-25

💰 Best Bet #1 [Loyola Marymount / Spread / +2.5 at -110 / 52% / Loyola Marymount shows resilience without key guard Jan Vide, covering in 4 of last 6 neutral-site games; simulation edges them to cover against Florida Atlantic’s inconsistent early-season defense.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 144.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams rank top-100 in pace and effective FG%, with recent games averaging 151 combined points; injuries limit scoring threats but matchup favors high output.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Florida Atlantic / Moneyline / -130 / 52% / Florida Atlantic holds slight edge in adjusted efficiency ratings and home-court proxy at neutral site, backed by 52% simulated win probability.]

Game Times

ET: 8:30 PM
CT: 7:30 PM
MT: 6:30 PM
PT: 5:30 PM
AKT: 4:30 PM
HST: 2:30 PM

💸 Public Bets

[40% / 60%]

💰 Money Distribution

[45% / 55%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at Florida Atlantic -2 and held steady at -2.5 despite moderate public action on the favorite, indicating sharp stability on the spread.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3.2% on Over 144.5] — Implied probability of 52.4% from odds undervalues the 55% simulation over likelihood, driven by both teams’ top-150 tempos and defensive rebounding weaknesses in current season data.

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Loyola Marymount | 48% |
| Win % for Florida Atlantic | 52% |
| Spread Cover % for Loyola Marymount | 52% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 55% / Under: 45% |
| Average Total Points | 152 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10, 12] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward Florida Atlantic as the favorite, aligning with sharp money distribution and stable line movement, making a follow on the favorite viable where EV supports. However, Loyola Marymount’s spread value emerges from their adjusted defensive efficiency holding up without Vide, while the overall game outlook points to a moderate-scoring affair exceeding the total due to fast paces and turnover-prone defenses on both sides. Fade opportunities are limited as metrics converge on consensus edges.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Florida Atlantic] — Mathematical probability favors their slight win edge in simulations and market consensus.

Highlights unavailable.