NCAAB
Loyola Marymount vs 
Washington State
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 11:00 PM ET • 10:00 PM CT • 9:00 PM MT • 8:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-25 09:50 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 Loyola Marymount Lions / +1.5 / -114 / 75% / Simulation shows 78% cover rate; LMU’s recent home defense allows just 64 PPG while WSU struggles on road losses.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 150.5 / -105 / 54% / LMU games average 144 total points recently vs WSU’s variable but public leaning slight over creates edge; strong defensive matchup.
💰 Best Bet #3 Loyola Marymount Lions / Moneyline / +100 / 64% / Home advantage and superior recent form (3-0) project 64% win probability vs implied 50%.
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Loyola Marymount Lions | 64.2% |
| Win % for Washington St Cougars | 35.5% |
| Spread Cover % for Loyola Marymount Lions (+1.5) | 78.1% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 50.8% / Under: 49.2% |
| Average Total Points | 151.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-29.1, 43.8] |
🏀 Matchup: Loyola Marymount Lions vs Washington St Cougars
💸 Public Bets
[43% / 57%]
💰 Money Distribution
[38% / 62%]
💹 Market Alignment
Aligned
📉 Line Movement
Stable across books; opened near -1 WSU and holds with slight money on away side.
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.8% on LMU +1.5 (sim cover 78% vs -114 implied 53%); recent LMU def (64 PPG allowed) undervalued vs public fade home dog.
Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: Kijani Wright (Loyola Marymount) / Over 12.5 Rebounds / -110 / 73% / Dominates boards in recent home wins (avg 13.3 RPG), WSU weak rebounding def allows 38% opp rate.
Player Prop #2: Myles Rice (Washington St) / Under 18.5 Points / -112 / 68% / Road inefficiency (15.7 PPG last 3 away), faces LMU top-100 def efficiency holding guards low.
Player Prop #3: Dominick Harris (Loyola Marymount) / Over 15.5 Points / -108 / 71% / Leading scorer at 17.7 PPG recently, exploits WSU’s avg perimeter D in high-pace spots.
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public bets and money align on Washington St -1.5 amid slight favorite bias, but 10k sim and LMU’s stingy home D (64 PPG allowed) create sharp value fading public. WSU road form mixed with recent loss; no RLM but metrics favor home cover. Overall low-mid scoring outlook as LMU throttles offenses efficiently.
🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Washington St — LMU +1.5 holds strongest EV.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
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