LSU vs South Carolina

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-06 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-06 11:11 AM EST

LSU vs South Carolina on 2026-01-06

💰 Best Bet #1 [LSU / Spread / +4.5 at -110 / 55% / LSU shows resilience in simulations covering the spread more often than not, bolstered by home-court advantage despite key injuries, with recent form indicating value against a favored South Carolina.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 148.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams exhibit defensive efficiencies in current season metrics, with LSU’s injuries limiting offensive output and South Carolina’s controlled pace favoring a lower-scoring affair based on adjusted defensive ratings.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [South Carolina / Moneyline / -200 / 58% / South Carolina holds a clear edge in win probability from Monte Carlo outputs, driven by superior recent form and LSU’s injury concerns, making the favorite a solid play despite the juice.]

Game Times

ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[42% / 58%]

💰 Money Distribution
[38% / 62%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at LSU +3.5 and moved to +4.5 amid balanced action, with slight sharp money on the underdog per recent reports.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on LSU spread / +1.8% on Under total] — EV derived from simulation probabilities exceeding implied odds, adjusted for injury impacts and home splits in current 2026 season data.

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for LSU | 40.00% |
| Win % for South Carolina | 58.00% |
| Spread Cover % for LSU (+4.5) | 55.00% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 148.00 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10.50, 14.20] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward South Carolina, aligning with sharp money distribution and simulation outcomes, suggesting a follow rather than fade in this matchup. LSU’s key absences, including doubtful status for Dedan Thomas, tilt the scales toward the Gamecocks without strong contrarian signals from line movement. Overall game scoring projects moderately low, with defensive rebounding and turnover rates from both squads pointing to an under-leaning total based on current season efficiencies.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with South Carolina] — Mathematical probabilities favor the visitor’s win, supported by EV-positive edges and contextual injury data.

Highlights unavailable.