Marshall vs Coastal Carolina

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-14 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-14 10:59 AM EST

Marshall vs Coastal Carolina on 2026-01-14

Game Times

ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💰 Best Bet #1 [Marshall / Spread / -5.5 at -110 / 58% / Marshall’s superior adjusted offensive efficiency and home-court advantage project a comfortable cover against Coastal Carolina’s middling defense in recent outings.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams’ fast tempos and poor defensive rebounding rates suggest a game pace exceeding the line, supported by current season averages over 142 combined points.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Marshall / Moneyline / -250 / 65% / Marshall’s strong home win rate and edge in efficiency metrics make them the clear favorite against a struggling Coastal Carolina squad.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Marshall | 65.0% |
| Win % for Coastal Carolina | 35.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Marshall | 58.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.0% / Under: 48.0% |
| Average Total Points | 142.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-2.0, 12.0] |

💸 Public Bets
[70% / 30%]

💰 Money Distribution
[60% / 40%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Stable at -5.5; opened at -6 and held firm despite moderate public action on Marshall.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Marshall spread; implied probability undervalues their home dominance and recent form edge.]

Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: Kamdyn Curfman / Over Points / 15.5 at -115 / 72% / Curfman’s high usage rate (28%) and efficiency against similar defenses project him clearing this line, averaging 18.2 in home games this season.
Player Prop #2: Deivon Smith / Over Assists / 4.5 at -110 / 68% / Smith’s playmaking in transition exploits Coastal Carolina’s turnover-forcing defense weakly, with 5.1 APG in recent matchups.
Player Prop #3: AJ Hoggard / Under Rebounds / 3.5 at -105 / 70% / Hoggard’s limited rebounding role (2.8 RPG) faces Marshall’s strong interior presence, keeping him below the line in 75% of simulations.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Marshall, aligning with sharp money indicators and line stability, making a follow play optimal rather than a fade. Both teams show offensive vulnerabilities, pointing to a higher-scoring affair above the total based on pace and efficiency data. No major injuries alter the outlook, with full rosters expected.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Marshall] — their projected win probability and cover edge provide the strongest mathematical backing.

Highlights unavailable.