Maryland vs Michigan

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-13 08:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-13 11:32 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Michigan / Spread / -17.5 at -110 / 55% / Michigan’s dominant form and defensive efficiency give them a strong edge to cover against a struggling Maryland team, supported by recent trends and home underperformance for the Terps.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 65% / Both teams show low-scoring tendencies in recent matchups, with Michigan’s elite defense limiting opponents and Maryland’s offense hampered by injuries, favoring a below-average total.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Michigan / Moneyline / -2000 / 85% / Michigan’s superior rankings and win probability make them a clear favorite, with minimal upset risk against an injury-plagued Maryland squad.]

Maryland vs Michigan on 2025-12-13

Game Times

ET: 08:00 PM
CT: 07:00 PM
MT: 06:00 PM
PT: 05:00 PM
AKT: 04:00 PM
HST: 02:00 PM

💸 Public Bets

[Michigan 78% / Maryland 22%]

💰 Money Distribution

[Michigan 85% / Maryland 15%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at Michigan -16.5 and moved to -17.5 with heavy action on the Wolverines, indicating sustained confidence in the favorite despite public support.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3.2% on Michigan spread / Positive EV driven by simulation probabilities exceeding implied odds, with defensive metrics and injury impacts favoring the cover.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Michigan | 85% |
| Win % for Maryland | 15% |
| Spread Cover % for Michigan (-17.5) | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 35% / Under: 65% |
| Average Total Points | 140 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [5, 35] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Michigan, aligning with sharp money and line movement, making a follow on the Wolverines the optimal approach based on mathematical probabilities. Michigan’s defensive efficiency and Maryland’s key injuries contribute to a low-scoring affair, with the under holding strong value. Overall, the game projects as a controlled win for Michigan, keeping the total well below the line.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Michigan / Clear edge on the favorite due to superior metrics and matchup advantages.]

Highlights unavailable.