NCAAB
Maryland vs 
Washington
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 3:00 PM ET • 2:00 PM CT • 1:00 PM MT • 12:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 09:08 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 Maryland / +3.5 / +3.5 at -114 / 58%
Public bets split evenly on spread but money 55% on underdog Maryland amid home-court dynamics and recent cross-conference trends favoring dogs.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 145.5 at -110 / 55%
Money leans under (55%), aligning with defensive efficiencies and lower-volume pace in similar matchups, projecting avg total below line.
💰 Best Bet #3 Washington Huskies / Moneyline / -176 / 54%
Public (68%) and money (73%) converge on road favorite with superior adjusted metrics; sim win prob supports value despite juice.
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Maryland Terrapins | 42% |
| Win % for Washington Huskies | 55% |
| Spread Cover % for Maryland +3.5 | 54% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 144.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-21, 24] |
Maryland Terrapins vs Washington Huskies
💸 Public Bets
[Maryland 32% / Washington 68%]
💰 Money Distribution
[Maryland 27% / Washington 73%]
💹 Market Alignment
Divergent
📉 Line Movement
Stable across books; no notable shifts observed
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Maryland +3.5 (sharp money on dog vs even public bets, sim cover > implied 53%)
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public and money align heavily on Washington ML but diverge on spread where handle favors Maryland underdog despite balanced bets, signaling pro action on home side. Sim backs slight edge to dog cover and under amid projected low total from pace/defense convergence. Overall low-scoring affair likely with defenses dictating.
🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on spread with Maryland +3.5 — math and money disparity confirm optimal value.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
Highlights unavailable.