NCAAB

Michigan vs Ohio State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-23 08:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-23 10:42 AM EST

🏀 Michigan vs Ohio State on 2026-01-23

Game Times
ET: 8:00 PM
CT: 7:00 PM
MT: 6:00 PM
PT: 5:00 PM
AKT: 4:00 PM
HST: 2:00 PM

💰 Best Bet #1 [Michigan / Spread / -15.5 at -110 / 70% / Michigan’s dominant home form and superior efficiency ratings give them a strong edge to cover, supported by recent wins and Ohio State’s road struggles.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 65% / Both teams’ defensive metrics and slower tempos suggest a controlled game, with Michigan allowing low points at home.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Michigan / Moneyline / -1200 / 85% / High win probability driven by ranking, form, and matchup advantages over a fading Ohio State squad.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Michigan | 85.2% |
| Win % for Ohio State | 13.1% |
| Spread Cover % for Michigan | 68.4% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 38.2% / Under: 61.8% |
| Average Total Points | 138.7 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [2.1, 28.3] |

💸 Public Bets
[Michigan 70% / Ohio State 30%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Michigan 80% / Ohio State 20%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Opened at -14.5, moved to -15.5 with heavy action on Michigan, indicating sustained support for the favorite despite public leaning.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Michigan spread; simulation cover rate exceeds implied odds probability, bolstered by home advantage and defensive efficiencies.]

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Michigan, aligning with sharp money and line movement, making a follow strategy optimal given the Wolverines’ top-tier ranking and Ohio State’s inconsistencies. Defensive strengths on both sides point to a lower-scoring affair, with Michigan’s home crowd amplifying their efficiency. No contrarian fade is warranted as metrics converge on the favorite.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Michigan] — whichever has the best mathematical probability of winning.

Highlights unavailable.