Minnesota vs Iowa

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-06 08:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-06 11:14 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Iowa / Spread / -6.5 at -110 / 60% / Iowa’s superior efficiency ratings and recent road form support covering against a struggling Minnesota squad]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 141.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams rank low in pace and defensive rebounding, with injuries limiting offensive firepower for a controlled, lower-scoring affair]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Iowa / Moneyline / -280 / 70% / Hawkeyes’ win probability edges out implied odds, backed by strong adjusted defensive metrics and head-to-head history]

Iowa vs Minnesota on 2026-01-06

Game Times

ET: 08:00 PM
CT: 07:00 PM
MT: 06:00 PM
PT: 05:00 PM
AKT: 04:00 PM
HST: 02:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[Iowa 72% / Minnesota 28%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Iowa 65% / Minnesota 35%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at Iowa -4 but shifted to -6.5 amid sharp action on the Hawkeyes despite heavy public backing, indicating professional confidence in Iowa’s edge.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% EV on Iowa spread; reverse line movement against public percentage suggests value, with simulation probabilities exceeding implied odds by 4-5 points.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|————————-|————————|
| Win % for Minnesota | 32% |
| Win % for Iowa | 68% |
| Spread Cover % for Minnesota (+6.5) | 45% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 135 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-2, 15] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Iowa, aligning with sharp money as evidenced by the line movement toward the favorite, making a follow strategy optimal rather than fading. Minnesota’s defensive lapses against efficient offenses like Iowa’s tilt the matchup, while both teams’ recent games show below-average scoring outputs due to turnover-prone guards and limited depth from injuries. Overall, expect a grind-it-out contest under the total, with Iowa pulling away late based on superior bench production and home underperformance for the Gophers.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Iowa] — simulation and market data confirm the Hawkeyes’ edge holds positive EV across multiple angles.

Highlights unavailable.