Minnesota Wild vs Winnipeg Jets

League: NHL | Date: 2026-01-15 08:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-15 10:12 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Minnesota Wild / Puck Line / -1.5 at +140 / 55% / Wild’s strong home record (26-12-9) and Jets’ road struggles provide edge to cover the puck line, supported by recent form and defensive metrics.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 5.5 at -110 / 60% / Both teams’ low xGA per 60 and historical low-scoring matchups suggest a tight game; data points to under, flipped per NHL model logic.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Minnesota Wild / Moneyline / -161 / 62% / Home-ice advantage and superior season stats (Wild 26-12-9 vs. Jets 18-22-5) yield positive EV on the favorite.]

Minnesota Wild vs Winnipeg Jets on 2026-01-15

Game Times

ET: 08:00 PM
CT: 07:00 PM
MT: 06:00 PM
PT: 05:00 PM
AKT: 04:00 PM
HST: 02:00 PM

💸 Public Bets

[Minnesota Wild 68% / Winnipeg Jets 32%]

💰 Money Distribution

[Minnesota Wild 55% / Winnipeg Jets 45%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Divergent]

📉 Line Movement

[Line opened at Wild -155 ML, moved to -161 with sharp action on home team despite public lean; total steady at 5.5.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3.2% on Wild ML / Consensus from records and xGF metrics shows value on home favorite, with RLM indicating pro money.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Minnesota Wild | 61% |
| Win % for Winnipeg Jets | 39% |
| Puck Line Cover % for Minnesota Wild -1.5 | 54% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Goals | 5.3 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-2, +3] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player Prop #1: Kirill Kaprizov / Over Shots on Goal / 3.5 at -120 / 72% / Kaprizov’s high usage rate (avg 3.8 SOG last 10 games) and Jets’ weak high-danger defense support over.

Player Prop #2: Kyle Connor / Under Points / 0.5 at -110 / 68% / Jets forward faces Wild’s top PK unit; recent form shows under in 7/10 vs strong defenses.

Player Prop #3: Brock Faber / Over Blocked Shots / 2.5 at +100 / 65% / Faber’s defensive role yields avg 2.7 blocks; matchup favors physical play against Jets’ forecheck.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors the Wild, but divergent money distribution hints at sharp value on the home side without full alignment. Following the public aligns with math here due to Wild’s superior metrics and no major injuries shifting the edge. Overall game outlook points to a low-scoring affair, with both teams’ defensive efficiencies limiting high-danger chances.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Minnesota Wild] — best mathematical probability based on home advantage and season-long performance.

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