Nashville Predators vs Colorado Avalanche

League: NHL | Date: 2025-12-09 09:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-09 09:35 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Nashville Predators / Spread / +1.5 at -140 / 75% / Predators cover the puck line in simulations due to Avalanche’s injury-depleted roster and Nashville’s solid defensive play at home, limiting Colorado’s ability to win by multiple goals despite their offensive prowess.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 6.0 at -110 / 55% / Flipped recommendation based on historical performance; while simulations show a slight lean over, adjusted analysis favors under given both teams’ recent low-scoring trends and key absences impacting scoring depth.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Colorado Avalanche / Moneyline / -180 / 65% / Avalanche’s dominant season record (21-2-6) and league-best goal differential provide a clear edge, even on the road against a struggling Predators squad.]

Nashville Predators vs Colorado Avalanche on 2025-12-09

Game Times

ET: 9:30 PM
CT: 8:30 PM
MT: 7:30 PM
PT: 6:30 PM
AKT: 5:30 PM
HST: 3:30 PM

💸 Public Bets

[35% / 65%]

💰 Money Distribution

[30% / 70%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line stable at Avalanche -1.5; total steady at 6.0, with no significant shifts despite heavy money on Colorado, indicating sharp confidence in the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+4% on Predators +1.5 / Simulations and injury impacts create value against the public-heavy Avalanche side, as Colorado’s depleted lineup reduces their cover probability despite the moneyline favoritism.]

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Nashville Predators | 35.0% |
| Win % for Colorado Avalanche | 65.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Nashville Predators +1.5 | 75.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.0% / Under: 48.0% |
| Average Total Goals | 6.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-3.0, 1.5] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors the Avalanche, aligning with sharp money on their moneyline, but the puck line offers value on Nashville due to Colorado’s extensive injury list (including key forwards like Nichushkin and Drouin) that hampers their ability to pull away. Mathematical edges point to following the public on the outright win while fading on the spread, as simulations highlight defensive resilience for the Predators at home. Overall game scoring outlook leans toward moderate totals, with both teams’ recent form showing controlled, lower-output games influenced by absences and strong goaltending matchups.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Fade the public on Avalanche puck line / Follow the public with Colorado moneyline / No clear edge] — Predators +1.5 carries the best mathematical probability based on simulation cover rates and contextual injury data.

Highlights unavailable.