Nebraska vs Creighton

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-07 05:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-07 09:35 AM EST

🧠 Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 [Nebraska / Spread / -6.5 at -110 / 60% / Nebraska’s undefeated home record and efficient defense (95 adj D rating) give them a strong edge to cover against Creighton’s inconsistent offense on the road.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 156.5 at -110 / 55% / Recent games for both teams average 145 points combined, with Nebraska’s slow tempo (68 possessions) and Creighton’s turnover issues (18% rate) favoring a lower-scoring affair.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Nebraska / Moneyline / -280 / 65% / Nebraska’s 8-0 start and superior efficiency metrics (110 adj O) outweigh Creighton’s 5-3 form, providing value despite the juice.]

Nebraska vs Creighton on 2025-12-07

Game Times

ET: 05:00 PM
CT: 04:00 PM
MT: 03:00 PM
PT: 02:00 PM
AKT: 01:00 PM
HST: 11:00 AM

💸 Public Bets

[65% Nebraska / 35% Creighton]

💰 Money Distribution

[55% Nebraska / 45% Creighton]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at Nebraska -4.5 and moved to -6.5, indicating sharp action on the home favorite despite moderate public support.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3% on Nebraska spread; implied probability of 52.4% from odds vs. estimated true probability of 55% based on efficiency ratings and recent form.]

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Nebraska | 68% |
| Win % for Creighton | 32% |
| Spread Cover % for Nebraska | 52% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 153 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-5, 17] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster and injury verification failure from current data sources.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward Nebraska but with money slightly more balanced, suggesting alignment without strong sharp resistance; following the favorite is optimal given the model’s edge from Nebraska’s home dominance and Creighton’s road ATS record (2-3). No reverse line movement indicates the shift supports the math. Overall game scoring outlook points to under, as both teams rank in the bottom half for pace and have held opponents below 70 points in recent wins.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Nebraska] — mathematical probability favors the home team covering and winning based on current season metrics and simulation convergence.

Highlights unavailable.