New Jersey Devils vs St. Louis Blues

League: NHL | Date: 2025-11-26 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-25 07:59 AM EST

New Jersey Devils vs St. Louis Blues on 2025-11-26

💰 Best Bet #1 [St. Louis Blues / +1.5 / -180 / 65% / Devils hampered by multiple key injuries including Jack Hughes and Luke Hughes, reducing their offensive output and making a multi-goal win unlikely despite home advantage]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 5.5 at -110 / 58% / Both teams show strong defensive metrics in recent games with Blues allowing low xGA per 60; injuries limit scoring chances on both sides]

💰 Best Bet #3 [St. Louis Blues / Moneyline / +110 / 52% / Blues value as underdog with healthier lineup and solid recent form against depleted Devils]

Game Times
ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[55% / 45%]

💰 Money Distribution
[50% / 50%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Divergent]

📉 Line Movement
Line shifted from Devils -1.5 to Blues +1.5 despite public leaning Devils, indicating sharp action on Blues amid injury news

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Blues side; implied probability undervalues Blues win chance given Devils’ injury impact and Blues’ xGF edge in matchups]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for New Jersey Devils | 48% |
| Win % for St. Louis Blues | 52% |
| Spread Cover % for New Jersey Devils (-1.5) | 42% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Goals | 5.3 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-1.2, +1.8] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment favors the Devils due to home ice, but sharp money distribution shows balance with divergence signaling value on the Blues, justified by reverse line movement and Devils’ extensive injury list from recent reports. Following the public here risks overvaluing a depleted roster, while fading aligns with math on injuries and defensive trends. Overall game outlook points to low scoring, with both teams’ xGA per 60 under league average and key offensive absences limiting high-danger chances.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Fade the public on Devils] — Blues offer the best mathematical probability with positive EV from injury-driven edges.

Highlights unavailable.