New Orleans Pelicans vs Brooklyn Nets

League: NBA | Date: 2026-01-14 08:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-14 06:14 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [New Orleans Pelicans / Spread / +2.5 at -110 / 55% / Pelicans show value as home underdogs with recent defensive improvements and Nets’ road struggles; simulation supports cover edge despite key injuries.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 229.5 at -110 / 53% / Both teams’ pace and offensive ratings suggest a higher-scoring affair, with Pelicans allowing 115+ PPG lately and Nets’ fast-break efficiency; injuries thin defenses.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Brooklyn Nets / Moneyline / -130 / 52% / Nets hold slight sim edge with better recent form and sharp action backing them as road favorites; line movement confirms professional interest.]

New Orleans Pelicans vs Brooklyn Nets on 2026-01-14

Game Times

ET: 08:00 PM
CT: 07:00 PM
MT: 06:00 PM
PT: 05:00 PM
AKT: 04:00 PM
HST: 02:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[58% Pelicans / 42% Nets]

💰 Money Distribution
[52% Pelicans / 48% Nets]

💹 Market Alignment
[Divergent]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at Nets -1.5 but moved to -2.5 amid sharp money on Brooklyn despite public leaning home team, indicating pro resistance to Pelicans hype.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Nets spread; reverse line movement and injury-adjusted metrics create value against public overreaction to Pelicans’ home court.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for New Orleans Pelicans | 48.2% |
| Win % for Brooklyn Nets | 51.8% |
| Spread Cover % for New Orleans Pelicans | 52.5% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 53.0% / Under: 47.0% |
| Average Total Points | 221.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-15.2, 14.8] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment favors the Pelicans at home, but divergent money distribution and reverse line movement signal sharp action on the Nets, creating a contrarian edge justified by Brooklyn’s superior recent efficiency ratings and Pelicans’ key absences like Dejounte Murray and Herbert Jones. Following the pros aligns with math here, as EV supports fading the 58% public on New Orleans. Overall game scoring outlook points to a moderate total, with both offenses capable but thinned frontcourts likely pushing toward the over based on pace and defensive lapses.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Fade the public on Pelicans] — Nets moneyline and spread offer the best mathematical probability of winning, backed by sim outcomes and market signals.

Highlights unavailable.