NBA
New Orleans Pelicans vs 
Golden State Warriors
League: NBA | Game Time: 8:00 PM ET • 7:00 PM CT • 6:00 PM MT • 5:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-19 07:21 PM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 Pelicans / Spread / -2.5 at N/A / 69%
Simulation indicates strong cover probability with average margin of +6.2 points, supported by home advantage and scoring edges from recent Summer League trends.
💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 180.5 at N/A / 53%
Average simulated total of 182 exceeds the line, consistent with recent game totals averaging around 186 despite defensive showings.
💰 Best Bet #3 Pelicans / Moneyline / N/A / 64%
Monte Carlo results project 63.9% win probability for Pelicans, factoring in matchup dynamics and home-field factors.
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Pelicans | 63.9% |
| Win % for Warriors | 36.1% |
| Spread Cover % for Pelicans | 69.1% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 53.4% / Under: 46.6% |
| Average Total Points | 182.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-28.5, 41.2] |
🏈 Matchup: New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors
💸 Public Bets
Data unavailable
💰 Money Distribution
Data unavailable
💹 Market Alignment
Data unavailable
📉 Line Movement
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💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
Positive EV on Pelicans spread and moneyline based on simulation convergence; no market data for precise quantification.
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure
⚖️ Analysis Summary
With no public betting or sharp money data available, reliance falls on quantitative simulation from recent form and matchup-adjusted scoring models. Pelicans show a clear edge in projected outcomes, favoring their side across spread and moneyline. Game scoring outlook points to moderate totals around 182, leaning slightly over based on offensive averages against opponent defenses.
🔮 Recommended Play
No clear edge — Simulation supports Pelicans but lacks odds and market confirmation for definitive EV.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
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