New Orleans Pelicans vs New York Knicks

League: NBA | Date: 2025-12-29 08:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-29 06:35 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 New York Knicks / Spread / -8.5 at -111 / 55% / Knicks dominate with superior rebounding and half-court execution against a Pelicans team hampered by injuries and poor recent form.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 239.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams rank in the bottom half for pace and offensive efficiency this season, with Knicks’ elite defense limiting opponents below the line in 60% of road games.
💰 Best Bet #3 New York Knicks / Moneyline / -355 / 74% / Knicks’ physicality and depth provide a clear edge over a struggling Pelicans squad, supported by strong win probability from advanced metrics.

New Orleans Pelicans vs New York Knicks on 2025-12-29

Game Times

ET: 08:00 PM
CT: 07:00 PM
MT: 06:00 PM
PT: 05:00 PM
AKT: 04:00 PM
HST: 02:00 PM

Public Bets

New York Knicks 70% / New Orleans Pelicans 30%

Money Distribution

New York Knicks 80% / New Orleans Pelicans 20%

Market Alignment

Aligned

Line Movement

Line opened at Knicks -7 and moved to -8.5 amid heavy action on New York despite public support, indicating sharp money on the favorite.

Mathematical Edge (EV)

+3% on Knicks spread, driven by reverse line movement and Knicks’ defensive rating advantage (104.2 points allowed per 100 possessions) versus Pelicans’ offensive struggles (108.5 rating on the road).

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for New Orleans Pelicans | 25% |
| Win % for New York Knicks | 74% |
| Spread Cover % for New York Knicks (-8.5) | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 220 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-5, 25] |

Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors the Knicks, aligning with sharp money as evidenced by the line movement, making a follow-the-public approach optimal here without contrarian value. The Knicks’ rebounding dominance and Pelicans’ key absences tilt the matchup decisively. Overall scoring outlook points to a lower-output game, with both defenses capable of holding opponents under 110 points based on current season averages.

Recommended Play

Follow the public with New York Knicks — mathematical probability favors their win and cover given the convergence of metrics and market action.

Highlights unavailable.