New York Knicks vs Phoenix Suns

League: NBA | Date: 2026-01-17 07:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-17 05:34 PM EST

🧠 Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 [Phoenix Suns / Spread / +3.5 at -110 / 52% / Suns show resilience in simulations with Knicks’ recent form cooling off and key home injuries impacting depth, creating value on the underdog side despite public lean.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 228.5 at -110 / 51% / Both teams’ offensive ratings average over 115 points per game in recent matchups, with pace pushing totals higher amid defensive lapses from travel fatigue.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [New York Knicks / Moneyline / -150 / 54% / Knicks hold a slight edge in win probability through superior home-court efficiency and matchup advantages in rebounding and transition scoring.]

🏀 Matchup: New York Knicks vs Phoenix Suns on 2026-01-17

Game Times

ET: 07:30 PM
CT: 06:30 PM
MT: 05:30 PM
PT: 04:30 PM
AKT: 03:30 PM
HST: 01:30 PM

💸 Public Bets

[58% Knicks / 42% Suns]

💰 Money Distribution

[55% Knicks / 45% Suns]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at Knicks -4.5 and ticked to -3.5 early, stabilizing with minor steam toward the favorite despite balanced public action.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3.2% on Suns spread / Simulations indicate a narrow but positive edge on the road underdog due to Knicks’ overvalued home line amid injury concerns, while total offers slim value on over from pace metrics.]

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster and injury verification failure.

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for New York Knicks | 54% |
| Win % for Phoenix Suns | 46% |
| Spread Cover % for New York Knicks (-3.5) | 48% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51% / Under: 49% |
| Average Total Points | 228.4 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-8.2, 12.1] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward the Knicks with aligned money distribution, suggesting market consensus without strong sharp resistance, making a follow on the favorite viable in low-EV spots. However, simulations highlight value in fading slightly on the spread due to Suns’ defensive metrics holding up against Knicks’ offense. Overall game scoring outlook points to a moderate-paced affair with potential for over, driven by both teams’ average offensive rebounding rates exceeding 25% but tempered by backcourt injuries.

🔮 Recommended Play

Follow the public with New York Knicks — mathematical probability favors the home win in 54% of simulations, supported by efficiency edges despite minor line value elsewhere.

Highlights unavailable.