NCAAB

NJIT vs Albany Great Danes

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 7:00 PM ET • 6:00 PM CT • 5:00 PM MT • 4:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-19 09:00 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Albany Great Danes / Spread / -18.5 at -115 / 52% confidence
RLM shows line moving from -17.5 to -18.5 against 56% money on dog, indicating sharp action on favorite; sim cover aligns closely with public divergence.

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 144.5 at -115 / 52% confidence
Simulated average total of 145 points with 51% over probability converges with 57% money on over and offensive efficiencies suggesting moderate pace.

💰 Best Bet #3 Albany Great Danes / Moneyline / -2500 / 93% confidence
Overwhelming 93% simulated win rate for away team despite heavy public on home ML (67% bets), supported by massive spread implication and market resistance.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for NJIT Highlanders | 7.0% |
| Win % for Albany Great Danes | 93.0% |
| Spread Cover % for NJIT Highlanders | 53.4% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51.0% / Under: 49.0% |
| Average Total Points | 145.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-41.1, 5.5] |

🏀 Matchup: NJIT Highlanders vs Albany Great Danes on 2026-02-20

💸 Public Bets
[NJIT 51% / Albany 49%]

💰 Money Distribution
[NJIT 56% / Albany 44%]

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Line moved from -17.5 to -18.5 on Albany despite majority money on NJIT, signaling potential sharp resistance.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2.5% EV on Albany spread; sim probabilities and RLM outweigh public lean to dog without strong contextual counter (no injuries/form data).

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public bets nearly split but money favors NJIT dog (56%), aligning slightly yet contradicted by reverse line movement to heavier Albany favorite, suggesting professional action on away cover. Sim metrics project Albany dominance (93% win) with average total near line, favoring modest over without defensive standouts. Overall scoring outlook moderate-high based on implied efficiencies and total sim distribution.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Albany Great Danes — RLM and sim win probability provide strongest mathematical edge.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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