NJIT vs
Vermont
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 7:00 PM ET • 6:00 PM CT • 5:00 PM MT • 4:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 11:23 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 Vermont / -4.5 / -113 / 58% / Vermont holds strong edge as road favorite with aligned public/money action and superior implied efficiency.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 142 at -110 / 60% / Both teams feature defensive metrics favoring low totals (under public 56%, money 60%), recent trends low-scoring.
💰 Best Bet #3 Vermont / Moneyline / -175 / 62% / Sharp/public convergence on Vermont win probability exceeds implied 63.6% true odds.
🏀 NJIT Highlanders vs Vermont Catamounts
💸 Public Bets
NJIT 47% / Vermont 53%
💰 Money Distribution
NJIT 42% / Vermont 58%
💹 Market Alignment
Aligned
📉 Line Movement
Stable across books (4.5 spread, 142 total consistent)
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Vermont -4.5; public/money disparity minor but supports favorite with home underdog inefficiency.
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for NJIT Highlanders | 37% |
| Win % for Vermont Catamounts | 63% |
| Spread Cover % for NJIT (+4.5) | 54% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 45% / Under: 55% |
| Average Total Points | 140.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-11.8, 3.2] |
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment (53% bets) and money (58%) align on Vermont, indicating market consensus without sharp resistance; math confirms edge via implied probabilities and defensive matchup. Fade unnecessary as no RLM or public overreaction evident. Overall game projects low-scoring affair given total splits and conference defensive paces.
🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Vermont — highest EV on road favorite cover/win.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
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