NCAAB

Northern Illinois vs Ohio

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 3:00 PM ET • 2:00 PM CT • 1:00 PM MT • 12:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 09:04 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Ohio Bobcats / -5.5 / -110 / 55% / Public bets 53% and money 58% aligned on favorite, model sim shows 53% cover rate with Ohio superior efficiency edge.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 150.5 at -110 / 58% / Public 57% bets/61% money on under, sim avg total 150 aligns with defensive matchup trends.

💰 Best Bet #3 Ohio Bobcats / Moneyline / -260 / 70% / Consensus sharp/public on heavy favorite, sim win prob 71% confirms positive EV.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Northern Illinois Huskies | 29% |
| Win % for Ohio Bobcats | 71% |
| Spread Cover % for Ohio Bobcats | 53% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 150 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-24, 18] |

🏈 Matchup: Northern Illinois Huskies vs Ohio Bobcats on 2026-02-21

💸 Public Bets
[47% / 53%]

💰 Money Distribution
[42% / 58%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Stable per available data]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Ohio -5.5; model prob exceeds implied 52.4% threshold amid aligned action]

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on Ohio Bobcats across spread and moneyline, supporting follow over fade with no RLM divergence. Defensive metrics and sim project low-scoring affair under total. Home underdog NIU shows slight spread cover potential but lacks edge vs consensus.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Ohio Bobcats — model-backed favorite with positive EV convergence.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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