Oakland vs Wright State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-11 03:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-11 10:27 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Oakland / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 58% / Oakland’s superior adjusted offensive efficiency and home-court advantage provide a clear edge, covering in simulations against Wright State’s defense.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 150.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams’ tempos and recent scoring trends suggest a pace that pushes the total above the line, supported by offensive rebounding rates.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Oakland / Moneyline / -200 / 65% / Strong win probability from efficiency metrics and recent form favors the home team outright.]

Oakland vs Wright State on 2026-01-11

Game Times
ET: 3:00 PM
CT: 2:00 PM
MT: 1:00 PM
PT: 12:00 PM
AKT: 11:00 AM
HST: 9:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
[65% / 35%]

💰 Money Distribution
[60% / 40%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Opened at -5, moved to -4.5 with balanced action, indicating stability despite public lean toward Oakland.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Oakland spread; implied probability undervalues home efficiency and form convergence.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Oakland | 65.2% |
| Win % for Wright State | 34.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Oakland | 58.3% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.1% / Under: 47.9% |
| Average Total Points | 152.4 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12.0, 18.0] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on Oakland, supported by line stability and efficiency edges, making following the favorite optimal without need for a fade. Wright State’s road struggles amplify the home advantage. Overall game scoring outlook points to a moderate-paced affair with potential for overage due to both teams’ rebounding and transition opportunities.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Oakland] — mathematical probability favors the home team based on current season metrics and simulation outcomes.

Highlights unavailable.