Ole Miss vs Miami (FL)

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-02 09:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-02 11:05 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Ole Miss / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 58% / Ole Miss home dominance with superior efficiency ratings edges Miami, supported by recent form and home advantage

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 147.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams play controlled tempo early season, defensive metrics suggest low-scoring affair under average

💰 Best Bet #3 Ole Miss / Moneyline / -185 / 65% / Simulation and market consensus favor Rebels win probability at home vs Hurricanes

🏀 Ole Miss vs Miami (FL) on 2025-12-02

Game Times
ET: 9:00 PM
CT: 8:00 PM
MT: 7:00 PM
PT: 6:00 PM
AKT: 5:00 PM
HST: 3:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
Ole Miss 65% / Miami (FL) 35%

💰 Money Distribution
Ole Miss 58% / Miami (FL) 42%

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Opened -5, moved to -4.5 with sharp action on Miami despite public on favorite

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4% on Ole Miss spread; reverse line movement and home metrics outweigh public lean

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Ole Miss | 67.5% |
| Win % for Miami (FL) | 32.5% |
| Spread Cover % for Ole Miss (-4.5) | 57.2% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51% / Under: 49% |
| Average Total Points | 148.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-8.5, 19.2] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster and injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public leans Ole Miss but money slightly favors value on Miami, with line movement indicating sharp resistance to favorite; math supports following adjusted home spread as EV positive. Game projects moderate scoring with strong defenses limiting explosiveness. Fade public overreach on heavy favorite.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Miami — Ole Miss holds mathematical edge per sims and efficiency.

Highlights unavailable.